Alas Poor Rudy, We Knew Ye Too Well…

Nothing official yet folks, don’t be alarmed, but I do have to say one thing.  The perilous fall experienced by the Giuliani campaign has been somewhat depressing for me.  No, seriously.

Okay, granted, it’s not because I would ever support the guy, but you have to remember that I make my trade in this business a lot of the time by cutting other people down, and there was no better target than Giuliani.

Before people started opening their mouths in this election cycle, Rudy looked like a great candidate on paper.  Strong on crime, liked by Republicans in two of the three primary legs of the party.  Granted, social conservatives would never line up behind him en masse, but for that very same reason, Giuliani might be able to get some moderate or even socially liberal support.

And a whole lot of people had a favorable opinion of him regarding 9/11.

But then it was 9/11, and then 9/11 again.  In fact, the moment Rudy opened his mouth, it got so bad that a typical Giuliani sentence sounded something like, “9/11 9/11 9/11, durka durka, Ronald Reagan 9/11.”

I’m not kidding.  If this were an SAT question, it would read:

3. Tom Tancredo is to Illegal Immigration as Rudy Giuliani is to _____.

a)  Being a dumbass

b)  Getting it on with his cousin

c)  being unable to hold a marriage together with duct tape and a nail gun

d)  Bernard Kerik

e)  9/11

Or, on an alternative test, the question would read the same, but the answers would be:

a) 9/11

b) 9/11

c) 9/11

d) 9/11

e) 9/11

You know, they say those tests are culturally biased, and looking at the alternative version, I think I can see it.

The funny thing about Giuliani is that despite how terrible of a candidate he actually was, he managed to enjoy a strong lead in national polling for quite some time.  But the higher you are, the more terrible the fall.  And fall he did.

As I pointed out earlier today, Rudy made a grave mistake; he miscalculated the effect the accelerated primaries would have on the significance of the early states.  Thinking that he could get away without playing in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan, Nevada, or South Carolina, Rudy decided to play all his chips in Florida with the hopes that he would get right back into the race in a single bound.

But then his numbers started tanking in the Sunshine State as the media found itself focusing on those candidates that were… you know… winning delegates.  I know, I know, it doesn’t make sense to me, but for some reason someone decided that it wasn’t a good idea to put too much spotlight on a candidate that wasn’t really doing anything.

I got no idea how these big media types stay in business.

And so here we are, a day away from when Rudy suffers the most crippling loss of his candidacy, and he’s very subtly hinting at possibly dropping out of the Republican race.  Wow, let me tell you, I didn’t see that coming…

To be fair, he didn’t say that Florida was do or die for him, only that whomever wins the state will win the nomination, right before predictin his own stunning come from behind at the buzzer victory.

Which means there are two things to take away from this.  Either Rudy really is sending code words out that if he doesn’t do well in Florida he’s dropping out, or Rudy is extremely high, and is getting his morning political info out of Highlights magazine.

Strangely enough, I’m banking on the latter.

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