I wanted to wait until we could verify this as an actual stable trend or not before I got in too deep into it, but the nationals do matter, and if she intends to carry on after all the primary states have gone, they still will.

Delegates are delegates, and Hillary won’t win by delegates which means that she’s going to need a powerful argument to override the delegates in order to win the nomination while at the same time maintaining credibility with party voters. What is going to seriously undermine that is if she’s also lagging behind Obama in the polls.

Polls are intangible, true, and you can only put so much stock in them in general, but what the Gallup Daily tracker at this point is doing is serving as a kind of barometer as to whether or not Hillary can get away with “stealing” the nomination. If she doesn’t maintain a steady and statistically significant lead over Obama after all the pledged delegates have been allocated, forget it, overturning pledged delegates is political suicide for the entire party–hand out the poison laced kool aid cuz here we go.

There’s more to it than just that, but then I would hate to have to steal my own thunder.