By June

The post mortems have been flowing non stop for Senator Hillary Clinton since her major defeat in North Carolina and razor thin victory in Indiana on Tuesday night. This even as the candidate herself has turned to West Virginia and continued along the trail.

But while people across the political chattering class are typing away about the end of Clinton’s presidential bid, the post mortems I find most interesting are those coming from within.

Not that any of them have any particular monopoly on believability. Rachel Maddow nailed it when she noted that Clinton hasn’t had a logical reason to stay in the race for a very long time, so why should now be all that different?

In fact, it’s not all that different. That’s the ironic thing about Indiana and North Carolina; the math didn’t shift there, the statistical probabilities weren’t settled in the home of the Hoosiers and the land of the Tarheels, but instead two months ago deep in the heart of Texas.

After suffering a crippling string of blowout defeats, it was in the “Mini Super Tuesday” states of Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island, and Vermont where Hillary needed positively crushing victories in order to pull her candidacy back into the realm of viability. When she lost the Texas Two Step, she lost the nomination.

The issue with Indiana and North Carolina was not that the math got terribly worse for Clinton (it did, but by then it had always been bad), but instead that the media finally began reporting on the mathematical situation in earnest.

That’s not to say that the media hadn’t been critical of her chances before; there were never any shortage of voices out there to say to remind people and her campaign of the statistical improbability of her nomination. They’ve just ignored it…

Until now.

Not long after the Tuesday primaries, one Clinton staffer had leaked for the first time something that went antithetical to probably the most consistent part of Clinton’s message, “We’re taking it to Denver.” That staffer suggested that the fight for the Democratic nomination would not end in August but in June.

This alone was significant, but what is more significant is hearing it coming from Terrry McAuliffe’s on mouth.

No, he didn’t say that his candidate was going to be the one leaving the race come June, but, this flies in the face of the one thing that LA Times staff writer Peter Wallsten insists should be the single biggest factor in the Clinton campaign’s continuing strategy; making the race go longer.

This may not be an option, of course. We’ve heard about countless money woes; that unlike after Pennsylvania, the Clinton team is not reporting a major spike in fundraising, and she recently loaned her campaign in excess of six million dollars. Further, I’ve heard rumors that she’s actually considering loaningĀ  herself even more.

In any case, the big take away point here is that up until now we’ve been very, very lucky if we’ve heard independent Democrats talk about the primary ending no later than June. Now, members of Team Clinton are even getting behind that narrative.

We may be able to pull this crashing monstrosity out of the nosedive yet.

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