For Clinton, a Script of her Death Scene

Despite newfound recognition by the mainstream media that the Democratic contest is over, it yet plods on, as do the many words that are written about it. Few people are talking as though Clinton has any path to victory of course, but this has only served to shift the focus of the conversation to how she will be defeated.

Ultimately I believe the way that Clinton will leave this race has been made quite clear; the party has decided to hold off on taking steps to end her campaign for her on one condition. She has to stay positive.

Whether she is adhering to that or not remains to be seen. Less than a week has passed since the consensus shifted from Obama most likely being the nominee to winning the nomination with only the formalities left to be taken care of, and thus we have yet to get a good measure of Clinton’s tone at this point.

For instance, the “white American’s” gaffe still rankles, but outside of that comment, Hillary Clinton appears to have remained hands off of the likely Democratic nominee, for the most part failing to refer to him by name, or by the more common, “My opponent,” moniker she has used for him in the past whilst on the stump.

And it’s not difficult to understand why she finds herself walking the tightrope between running a competitive campaign, and at the same time attempting to do no harm to her rival; at this point the prevailing logic is that if Clinton presents herself as a liability, Super Delegates will line up en masse to push Obama over the finish line.

Thus, the script for Clinton’s departure has been written. Play nice, or the Super Delegates will show you the door.

Meanwhile, it is worth noting that again the Gallup Daily Tracker is indicating that the Democratic party may be coalescing around him for perhaps the last time. This, of course, is not sealed in fate, however; as it is unclear what kind of an impact tomorrow’s West Virginia primary will have on the dynamics of the Democratic nomination.

For all intents and purposes, it has no real effect on the state of the race; even if Clinton were to win 100% of the votes, she would only cut into Obama’s pledged delegate lead by twenty-eight, still leaving Obama with a triple digit lead.

Still, as we’ve learned in the past, never underestimate the capabilities of the press to discount mathematics in favor of narrative. Given that Clinton is expected to beat Obama in West Virginia by over thirty points, such a landslide could conceivably produce a slew of articles that again throw into question Obama’s electability, and result in postponing the coalescing spoken of above.

As far as Hillary is concerned, though, it is important to note that she has little power to make such a case on her own. To do so with the West Virginia defeat requires a statement too similar to that made during a USAToday interview on Friday about “white Americans,” that would most assuredly result in Super Delegates flocking to Obama’s camp.

To some degree, they already are; CNN reports Obama gaining four Super Delegate endorsements on the day.

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