Cold Water

The Washington Post claims to have conducted preelection surveys in Iran that showed support for Ahmadinejad consistent with the publicized election results.  Maybe I’m grasping at straws, but is it possible that such a poll could be tainted by Iranians’ fear of Ahmadinejad?  That is, they may not trust the confidentiality of the poll and express support for Ahmadinejad out of fear of reprisal.

Also, for those who don’t already know, Nate Silver posted an analysis showing that the graph posted by Andrew Sullivan as evidence of fraud really doesn’t prove anything.


UPDATE: Andrew Sullivan spots some problems with the WaPo poll.  Chris Bowers provides any even more thoughtful analysis regarding the poll’s problems.

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