The Race Is Tightening, And That’s A Good Thing!

Contrary to the Gallup Daily Tracker which actually has the national gap between McCain and Obama widening, the Pollster aggregated trends show the race for the White House narrowing and believe it or not, this is actually good news for Obama. This assertion may seem counter-intuitive at first; after all,...

A Lullaby For Bradley

In response to the eyepopping polling numbers from the CBS/NYT poll, Wieland at Transparent Grid asks a very good question: can we put the Bradley Effect to bed? My first inclination, and this may come as a shock, is to say that we can’t.  The whole point to the Bradley Effect, in principle, is that...

The “Bradley Effect” in Reverse

Much has been made of the Bradley Effect and its role in pre-election polling.  For those needing a refresher, the Bradley Effect is Named for Tom Bradley, an African-American who lost the 1982 California governor’s race despite being ahead in voter polls, the Bradley effect refers to a tendency on...