Closer Than Nate

I’m an admitted ego-maniac, so when I write here, especially here, I make a concerted effort to keep myself and my ego in check.  But for just this once I’m going to let that self control lapse. Throughout this election, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com has been lauded time and time again for...

The Mark Shields Post (Who I Think Will Win The Presidential Election)

Back when I first got interested in politics, which, strange as it may seem, was only four years ago, one of my favorite columnists was Mark Shields.  Back then he was writing for CNN as one of the Democratic counterpoints to Bob Novak. What was perhaps ironic about my affection for Shields’ regular...

Poll Analysis: North Carolina Blue

There continue to be a few polls out there that may show the presidential race closing, but in general the overall snapshot continues to show a race where Barack Obama enjoys a commanding lead over Senator John McCain. Looking at all of the data I have at my disposal right now, without any significant...

Two More Down

Well, we can count up two more states that the McCain campaign looks to be pulling out of.  It began with Michigan, and just yesterday Colorado was added to the list.  Now there seems to be evidence that McCain is pulling out of Wisconsin and New Hampshire as well. Now let’s be fair, this is not quite...

Dueling Polls Combine To Paint A Picture

Today we see a couple of polls that would seem to be in direct conflict with each other.  CNN has Obama’s lead over McCain narrowing; Obama 51 to McCain 46.  Meanwhile, today’s Gallup Daily Tracker actually has Obama’s lead growing to eleven points compared to yesterday; Obama 52 to McCain...

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