About Last Night and The McCain Effect

There have been better nights for Obama supporters than last night; the knockout punch the Democratic frontrunner was looking for never came.  The Clinton campaign which had established Texas and Ohio as firewalls would therefore seem to have paid off on the surface, and for at least the next day or so that...

Mini Super Tuesday Update: Everything Narrowing But Vermont

It’s not a very fun night if you’re an Obama supporter, though there are some silver linings developing in the chaos. Right now all the states are narrowing except Vermont where Obama’s lead continues to grow.  There at seventy-five percent reporting Obama has broken sixty-percent. ...

Obama Wins Vermont. Plus: Exit Polling Goodness

The polls have just closed in Vermont, and already most news outlets are calling it for Obama.  Of course, you know what this points to… There’s only one way that a race gets projected this early–exit polls are so heavily in favor of one candidate over another that it’s a safe call. ...

Prediction Time: The Weather In Ohio

It’s coming down to the wire, and we should be starting to get our results for today’s primaries in a few hours.  That means it’s put up or shut up time, oh, and did you notice the weather in Ohio? Until just recently, we’ve had a shortage of polling data, but since it became pretty...

Finding The Path

Chris Cillizza asks an interesting question today; What constitutes an actual win for the Clinton campaign on March 4th?  It’s an important query, one that goes straight to the heart of what to expect on March 5th and ultimately the fate of the Democratic nominee and his or her path to the White...